土壤污染防治法背景下的城乡绿地系统建设：趋势与对策

《中华人民共和国土壤污染防治法》的颁布标志着中国将形成完善的土壤污染防治法律体系，建立从污染土壤调查、修复、风险防控、监测到场地再利用，从环境标准到规划管理的全方位制度。生态文明制度建设的宏观背景，再加上中国土壤污染严重、规模大、修复难、成本高、周期长等特征，将导致大量污染场地转变为绿地或生态用地，最终对绿地系统的数量与规模、布局与功能、规划与管理、环境质量标准等多个维度产生实质性影响。分析这一趋势，对其影响提出预判，最终提出对策建议。     

When was the U.S. housing downturn predictable? A comparison of univariate forecasting methods

This paper uses three classes of univariate time series techniques (ARIMA type models, switching regression models, and state-space/structural time series models) to forecast, on an ex post basis, the downturn in U.S. housing prices starting around 2006. The performance of the techniques is compared within each class and across classes by out-of-sample forecasts for a number of different forecast points prior to and during the downturn. Most forecasting models are able to predict a downturn in future home prices by mid 2006. Some state-space models can predict an impending downturn as early as June 2005. State-space/structural time series models tend to produce the most accurate forecasts, although they are not necessarily the models with the best in-sample fit.     

国土空间多功能利用效益评价——以广东省汕头市为例

进行汕头市国土空间多功能利用效益评价,为汕头市科学利用土地,进行国土规划、提高国土利用效率奠定前提和基础。以可持续发展为目的,结合汕头市自然社会发展特点及国土空间利用现状,从社会、经济、资源与生态环境4个功能为切入点,建立4个功能层10个准则层27个指标的国土空间多功能利用效益评价指标体系,并采用熵值法对各功能进行评分。研究结果显示:汕头市国土空间经济功能评分最高,为汕头市国土空间主导功能,其次是经济、资源、环境功能,但社会、文化等功能较弱,各功能缺乏平衡。15年来,汕头市国土空间评价总体评分不断提高,表明国土利用效益在持续提高,但各功能发展不均衡以及人地矛盾依然突出,需要不断加强和完善国土空间规划。     

以政府职能转变推动收入分配改革

收入和财富分配的不平等一直是中国改革发展中的重要问题。针对中国经济的特点,可以从政府改革的角度来研究如何更好地进行收入分配改革。地方政府主导推动地方经济的做法对收入不平等的扩大起了重要作用,加快政府职能转换,是使收入分配改革真正落到实处的破局之处,也是实现收入分配合理化可行的第一步。要改变地方政府的经济职能,降低它直接参与基础设施的程度,改革地方土地财政,建立垂直管理机构,以分散它的一部分经济管理职能,为收入分配改革打开空间。     

In and out of everyday life through film experiences: an analysis of two social spaces as leisure frames

The new information and communication technologies have made it possible to view films in different spaces. Using the symbolic interactionist framework as a frame of analysis, we interpret the meaning of the two experiences of viewing technology-mediated films in the home and in the cinema. We conducted field research during the first half of 2009, digitally recording 16 interviews with research participants living in Barcelona (Spain). The interviews were transcribed verbatim with the help of voice-recognition software. Reports from our research participants indicate that individuals considered only the cinema experience to be a true leisure activity, while the home experience was interpreted as a routine recreational activity. Therefore, the meanings of the film-viewing activity were associated with the symbolic properties of the frames of interpretation. Finally, we discuss the implications of these findings for the home as a unified centre where shared meanings are co-produced by family members.     

转型期中国土地利用的时序优化与空间释放

随着中国经济快速发展和人口集聚，建设用地需求快速增加，土地供需矛盾日益突出，资源保护和管理的压力逐渐加大。中国经济已步入新常态，经济结构转型倒逼土地供应结构优化调整。发达国家城镇化发展阶段起步较早，在土地节约集约利用与管理方面积累了宝贵经验。结合中国城市土地利用现状，借鉴美国、英国、德国等发达国家土地利用与管理经验，可从盘活存量土地、提高土地供给精准度、建立多元化供地机制三方面实现土地节约集约利用及有效管理，促进供给侧结构性改革。     

统筹城乡的建设用地空间重构机制与对策研究

统筹城乡发展要求重构建设用地空间。分析了我国土地政策促进城乡统筹的现实困境,表现为城乡用地供需错位、土地要素缺乏流动性、置换指标区际交易机制不健全、收益共享机制不完善等;以此为基础,从农村建设用地整理模式转换、置换指标跨县区流转、土地增值收益共享、规划引导4个方面构建了统筹城乡的建设用地空间重构机制;并提出要加强土地政策与相关政策的衔接,强化监管及保障体系建设,以充分发挥土地政策的宏观调控作用。     

自然生态空间用途管制理论分析及管制策略研究

研究目的:深入探讨自然生态空间用途管制作用机理及管制策略,助力完善国土空间用途管制制度。研究方法:文献分析法、归纳演绎法。研究结果:(1)模型能够较好反映自然生态空间与城镇空间和农业空间的联动效应;(2)阐明了自然生态空间用途管制行为主体、空间利用行为主体、空间利用行为以及用途管制客体之间的关系及管制作用机理;(3)明确"生态底线"导向的直接用途管制与"精明增长"导向的间接用途管制方式并行的管制策略。研究结论:建议完善国土空间规划体系,建立自然生态空间管制实施机制,加强自然生态空间用途管制要与其他自然资源管理改革制度的统一设计,强化实施自然生态空间管控质量监测评估。     

Is more better? The relationship between meeting space capacity and hotel operating performance

This study examines the effect of meeting space capacity on hotel operating performance. We use Resource-Based View (RBV) of the firm as the theoretical foundation. We employ a national-level dataset with more than 20,000 hotels in the United States for the 2007–2012 period. We find that meeting space has a non-linear effect on hotel operating performance. That is, at low levels of meeting space, meeting space capacity is negatively related to hotel operating performance. At high levels of meeting space, meeting space capacity has a positive influence on operating performance. These findings provide insights for hotel owners, developers and practitioners in planning hotel meeting space capacity.     

基于公共选择视角的“灰色收入”防控机制创新

灰色收入即为非法收入及其他来源不明的收入，具有参与范围扩大化、标的形式多样化、实地操作隐蔽化、实现标准奢侈化、实现手段智能化等趋势特点。产生原因有法律缺失、教育缺位、监管失严、权力信息不明等，对应的防控措施有严格法律界定、加强生活圈管理、加强多方监管、推进收入和财产公示等。